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Oh there’s too much going on man there’s too much going on in the stock market right now if you did not know we are in absolute earnings mayhem right now and let’s put it this way a lot of folks expect it this afternoon was going to be a complete disaster okay based upon some of the companies that were reporting all right and i want to take you guys through the
Financial statements of these companies and show you exactly what’s going on in detail with these companies business models so if you’re thinking about recession if you’re thinking about business models being devastated with some of the most important companies in the world you gotta look at the financial statements and see what’s actually going on with these
Companies okay and that’s what we’re gonna take a look at google mcdougall mr softy two of the most important companies in the entire world reported earnings just a couple hours ago and a visa as well here’s the deal okay we’re talking almost 4 trillion dollars of market capitalization between those three companies right they’re absolutely insane right and so let’s
Go through this guys hope you enjoy this as always wow okay so first one up here is mr softy first thing up is a product revenue is it down for mr softy about a billion dollars so not a good start there for microsoft services and other came in at a very nice increase of over six billion dollars that was nice now the issue is a lot of folks on wall street a lot
Of analysts and investors thought basically azure i can never pronounce it right azur azure their cloud product microsoft’s main cloud product they thought the growth was going to be faster than it was so it actually came in as a disappointment but i would not call it a disaster which remember when we talk about the nasdaq was down as of a couple weeks ago at
Least a few weeks ago the nasdaq was down 30 plus percent right when we talk about that sort of year everybody’s starting to prep for disastrous earnings this is not a disaster here with mr softy okay total revenue increased very nicely year over year 46 billion they did in the same quarter last year this this year 51.8 billion right as far as cost of revenue very
Slight increase as far as the product goes services did increase uh quite a bit but still i would say that’s pretty darn good in line with where you’d want to be total cost of revenue went up by about two and a half billion dollars roughly but when you talk about you know five almost six billion dollars of total revenue up i’ll take that any day of the week okay
Gross margin came in at about 32 billion dollars of gross margin right versus about about 35 or assuming last year at this time 32 billion now they got 35.4 billion very nice increase there research and development did increase 1.2 billion dollars a year over year but i mean microsoft they got to expend for the future right so that’s what that’s what they’ll say
As far as that goes but it’s a pretty big increase 1.2 billion dollars is nothing to sneeze at and that just year over year right sales and marketing they increased at about 500 million dollars a year over year general administrative went up about 200 million dollars just over 200 million dollars there operating income was up about 1.5 billion year over year so
Very nice and last year they basically had a 310 million dollar kind of help out on a one-time thing this year a 47 million dollar uh you know kind of thing that hurt the business just a one-off thing so you can’t really drive too much into that and as far as uh provision for income taxes that also hurt them this year 3.7 billion there for 2.9 billion uh basically
In the same quarter last year so overall net income hardly increased but it did increase and when you’re kind of prepped for disastrous earnings and you don’t come in with a disastrous earnings and revenue still increases very nicely and you still find a way to grow your bottom line despite so you know several things kind of working against you that are freak
Things it you know wall street’s gonna like that in the end okay and we also look at their balance sheet 104 billion dollars in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments so the balance sheet is still a beast at this company as well right and overall wall street likes what they see four percent up after hours there now also keep this in mind remember
The stock was down almost seven dollars a share here today so yeah it’s up ten dollars a share after hours so it’s a you know a little better but it’s not like this is some sort of drastic move this is almost like i would call it a relief a relief kind of rally after hours because people are like oh it’s not a disaster at microsoft they’re still growing revenues
They’re still growing their business they still found a way to grow the bottom line even though it was a very tough quarter right and people feel okay that’s a big one right so right off the bat that’s good no disaster there which everybody you know like i said right now in the market everybody’s expecting disasters right google mcdougall what happened here first
Off very nice increase with revenues here revenue is up about eight billion dollars roughly there that’s a very nice increase now where the problem is is look at the change in revenue growth year over year 62 they grew revenues year over year last year versus the previous quarter right this year 13 so we’re talking about a dramatic decrease now that was coming off
Of a freakish kind of year right where obviously the previous year you were in rona right those rhona quarters they were comping against so it was a kind of a freaky situation that’s why it made their growth look so insane last year but still when you go from 62 growth to 13 people still look and they’re like what what happened to growth here right on a constant
Currency basis 57 percent the previous year then they you know they only grew 16 here but the bottom line is this is still not a disaster they’re still growing their business right operating income on the other hand hardly increased despite that major increase in revenues that’s not good operating margin fell from 31 to 28 percent that’s not good other income
And expenses basically this year they had working against them this 439 million expense they had a 2.6 billion dollar gain in uh you know the previous year in the same quarter so net income ultimately did drop but part of it do remember a big part of it is because this one time off you know expenses and gains there okay so if it wasn’t for that basically uh net
Income would have likely slightly grew so do keep that in mind eps would have likely slightly grew and net income would have slightly grew but very we’re talking about very slight gains and when you’re talking about you know revenue up almost 8 billion dollars i mean it’s not good okay but it’s not a disaster and that’s the important part it’s like meh that type
Of situation okay if we look a little deeper here google search and other nice increase of over four billion dollars there if you look at youtube ads not very impressive not very impressive at all youtube ads are only up about 300 million dollars so uh growth cool good but that’s not that impressive but it still gets it green because it’s growth and when you’re
The expectations are disaster and you come in with growth and growth is growth right google network increased very nice here about 700 million dollars overall google cloud was up very nice 4.6 billion in the same quarter last year versus 6.2 billion so that’s great right number of employees they increased 30 000 employees versus same quarter last year okay here’s
A deal there’s no way they could justify adding 30 000 employees over the past 12 months no way the only reason they did that is because one they had this ridiculous growth rate at this time last year right the other part of that is there’s been like a battle in silicon valley for the top engineers and uh you know everybody that’s in that whole development space
And so therefore all these guys been battling meta google apple amazon all them been battling back and forth right plus you had all the vc companies out there you’re competing with well those days are ending and they’re ending actually pretty darn quickly right and so google’s in this situation where i feel like google could probably go years without adding any
More new employees to that company like literally years but they just they i mean if you look at their employee growth over the past five years it’s it’s off the charts and it’s not like their business got so much more complicated in the last three years five years that are like oh yeah we need to add an extra 100 000 employees but that’s basically what they’ve
Done right at that company because it’s been a kind of a war between them and everybody else and it’s like if you let the top engineers go to some other company maybe they come out with some product that knocks you off right and so it’s almost like you’re you’re almost like stockpiling okay it’s almost like i call it a little war that’s been going on in silicon
Valley for workers but that that’s all ending so ultimately at the end of the day i think google could either do layoffs honestly i don’t think they want to go that route because i don’t think they ever want to be the company that’s doing layoffs but i think they could uh definitely scale way back on hiring which should keep their costs somewhat in line and so if
They continue to increase revenues over the next few years i think a lot more of that money’s gonna hit bottom line than in these uh let’s just call it over the past few years as they were adding just crazy amounts of employees right now if we look at the balance sheet uh i call it i gave it a yellow line here because it’s still a crazy number but it is down 15
Billion versus december 31st of 2021 they had 139 billion dollars of cash cash equivalents and marketable securities that’s down to 124 billion which is still just a ridiculous amount but it’s a 15 billion difference roughly there okay so overall as far as how wall street’s taking us it’s a positive stock’s up over five dollars after hours it’s up 4.8 percent do
Keep in mind the stock was down 2.77 in the regular trading day here today so it’s getting those gains back and adding a little bit more but uh nothing crazy and that’s another one of those relief rally google’s earnings not a disaster okay and this is also moving other stocks for instance meta we look at metamata is up 2.6 after hours now we do know meta’s earnings
Are coming out in about 16 hours from now so that’s obviously going to matter in a significant way much more than google’s earnings meta’s earnings gonna matter more for the company than google’s but it’s a good positive direction at least that google’s numbers weren’t a disaster so it likely means meta numbers won’t be a disaster because those two companies kind
Of move a little in line with their numbers it’s not like snap you know people try to say oh snap numbers you know we’re a disaster so therefore google numbers are going to be disaster and meta doesn’t mean that med and google are two different animals than snapchat don’t put those companies in the same sentence that’s just completely disrespectful to what those
Companies have accomplished and what those companies do versus a company like snapchat so yeah i mean but that’s that’s the way a lot of people sometimes approach it they think oh this company is doing this this company is doing bad or this company’s doing good so it means these other companies are no each company is its own individual and uh yeah they’re going to
Perform accordingly visa very important if you want to know how the economy is doing right i mean who doesn’t use a visa card of some kind uh you know debit card credit card whatever visa net revenues 19 up year over year gap net income generally accepted accounting principles up 32 year-over-year gap earnings per share up 36 is some of the strongest uh growth as
Far as gap earnings i’ve seen from all just about any public company non-gaap net income up 29 non-gaap earnings per share up 33 boom knocked out a ballpark for visa good for them and good for all visa shareholders absolutely amazing numbers payments volume was up 12 cross border volume excluding intra europe up 48 cross border volume total up 40 percent process
Transactions of 16 boom boom boom boom great numbers visa give it up for yourself okay that’s absolutely amazing now a little worrisome a little worrisome for the overall economy here okay so this basically kind of shows you payments volume over time okay and over the last year plus and what we see is payments volume okay but uh we could potentially be in a down
Cycle here okay and you can kind of see it in the numbers here and as these charts kind of move along obviously you know when the stimulus was out there holy smokes man payment volume went up in a significant way as you would expect if you pump them the economy with stimulus right but uh yeah as far as growth rates go not the most exciting over the last let’s just
Call it several months uh to be quite honest so yeah i mean this good this kind of plays into this whole you know are we going into recession and when you look at something like this it’s like it’s not clear it’s not a clear indicator of like you know if this was falling off a cliff i’d be like yes for sure like look at the look at the numbers so we’re kind of in
This you know in between time i would call it that and the other thing you got to remember about this and i think that a lot of people don’t think of this right is everything’s much more expensive so you know there could be more being charged on cards debit cards credit cards but is it because necessarily people are going out there and wanting to spend more or
Is it because the gas station they now are spending a hundred dollars versus they used to spend 60 dollars is now when you go to the grocery store are you spending a hundred and twenty dollars each week instead of a hundred and ten dollars or a hundred dollars that you might have spent at this time last year so those are very important things to remember and that
That’s what i’ve also been thinking about in regards to because amex had great earnings as well american express and i’m looking at these visa numbers and they’re incredible but i’m also thinking like are people uh charging more because they want to charge more because you know as far as the dollar amount goes or is it because they have to spend more because things
Are just much more expensive and so these are some things to keep in mind and to pay attention to in the stock market that i think are honestly very very important but there’s no clear indicator based upon looking at kind of payment volume coming through that we’re for sure in in a recession or going into recession here or not i think it’s it’s very i would call
It indecisive number as far as that goes as far as wall street they don’t know what to do with this stock it’s break even after hours which in this sort of market you’ll take break even right you’ll take break even if it stocks down two three percent it is what it is do remember though visa and all these guys amex and all these guys they usually trade at richer
P ratios and the market’s trading that usually considerably but also remember they they report these incredible numbers i mean visa just reported that’s other than tesla i would say this is the most impressive quarterly numbers i’ve seen so far this earnings season is from visa here uh you know everything tesla had working against it and for it to still put up
The numbers it did was outstanding and amazing outside of tesla my i think this is the best earnings i’ve seen so far this earnings season and obviously we’ve still got several weeks of earnings season left but definitely a step in the right direction now that leads us obviously into tomorrow before the bell you got shopify you got boeing a spotify you got waste
Management you have sure and williams t-mobile all reporting before the bell and then after the bell you got meta that’s the one everybody’s got their eye on then after that ford qualcomm and all these other guys right etsy’s a beaten down dog stock that had really nice growth what’s going on there would love to hear that as well uh but obviously all eyes will be
On meta shopify already had a massive move down so to get that stock to move down even more their earnings is going to have to be a super big disaster that’s what i would call that and if you don’t get that super big disaster the stock will actually move up tomorrow so uh yeah i mean if i was to put odds on if shopify is going to go up or down tomorrow during the
Trading day i would put it at about 75 up and about 25 down uh yeah the 25 is if they really come in with such a big disaster that’s like oh my gosh everything’s even worse than we expected like way worse that’s what they have to come in aft after your stock was already down 14 15 today hope you guys enjoyed this video as always man we got a lot going on if you’re
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Transcribed from video
We Just Avoided a Stock Market Disaster : Here is What Happened By Financial Education