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Well we have a big video alert folks corsair gaming crs our stock we are going to talk about this one here today in this video i have seen a lot of people wanted me to talk about this stock for quite a while i haven’t talked about it recently there’s been rumors that i don’t even hold any shares of the stock anymore we’re going to get into that in this video i’m
Going to show you if i do hold shares in the stock and exactly how many i hold there’s been rumors that i don’t like this company anymore or i don’t think they’re going to do good so we’re going to get into everything in this video in regards to corsair gaming i’m going to take you through not only what i own in the stock if i’m interested in buying the stock if
I’m interested in buying options on the stock and why we’re going to talk about the numbers the fundamentals what’s going on with the business i’m going to take you through google trends i’m going to take you through what i saw this holiday season and uh a lot dang more in regards to corsair gaming so yeah i hope you guys enjoyed this i know a lot of folks have been
Wanting me to do a dedicated corsair video so this is that video for you guys here today and hey it’s a weekend video so you know i had to have a little bit of time on my hands for this one here today make sure to subscribe to the channel if you’re not already subscribed make sure you hit that notification bell to be notified every time i drop a video or whatever
The heck youtube wants to notify you all right all righty guys so in regards to corsair gaming crsr it’s been trading around 20 recently interesting trading action on friday look at the stock price up two point two percent now keep this in mind the russell was down one point two percent right nasdaq was down dow was down s p 500 was down just very interesting that
Corsair there was no news in regards to corsair just had a really good day despite all the markets being rough and you would think usually if the russell’s down 1.2 percent corsair is going to be down 2 or down 3 something like that and then it pulls out a good day keep in mind corsair is one of the most shorted stocks in the entire stock market what does this mean
Well that means a lot of people don’t like the stock a lot of people think this stock is going to go down right when you’re one of the most shorted stocks that’s a belief right and so it doesn’t mean it’s going to happen because a lot of times we see in these situations where shorts go max short at the worst time possible next thing you know the company goes from
Bad news to decent news from decent news to good news and next thing you know stock goes flying up and a massive short squeeze happens doesn’t mean that’s going to happen on corsair gaming but i think it’s just important to remember there okay mark cap on this company is under 2 billion right now pe on the stock is around 17 obviously in terms of its stock price
It’s had a horrible horrible past year i mean it doesn’t get much worse than that i mean it does actually get much worse than that because if you’ve seen some of these stocks over the past year oh wait okay uh in regards to course here very important not a lot of people realize this you know some people think well it’s just corsair right that’s only that’s that’s
It no actually they own other businesses as well they also own elgato which is a streaming player and if you go to your local best buy you’re going to see a dedicated section actually to elgato which sells lighting so like these lights i have behind me here those lights right there uh those are elgato lights okay that are basically for folks like myself that film
Videos like it’s it’s awesome like the lighting setup they also have their own cameras and many other things microphones stuff like that so your voice sounds better so elgato is a huge player in the streaming space so think about youtube think about twitch think think about even people that um might record a lot of videos for business or do a lot of zoom meetings
That might want some higher end stuff right even those folks will use uh products like elgato so they’re they’re a major player in that market i would say their main competitor is probably uh logitech in in that particular space they also on origin which is essentially a company that builds custom pcs for you the whole the whole dealio they’re very expensive usually
Scuff is a very interesting brand so this is a controller product brand so they’ll make like you know custom controllers for ps5 for the new xbox things like that okay and so very important to remember when it comes to corsair it’s not just the corsair products you’re buying under the company you’re buying all these other brands they own as well which also have
Great uh trajectories and growth stories as well okay in regards to me owning corsair gaming okay here’s what i have in the stock here’s what i’m looking at in this particular account i have it in two accounts corsair gaming in this account i have seven thousand seven hundred and seventy seven shares of corsair gaming this particular account getting absolutely
Decimated uh down about thirty five percent down about eighty six 000 it is uh i believe my worst stock out there it’s just been awful in terms of dollar amount down so that’s that particular account there and then this particular account here i have 10 000 shares in that one getting devastated on as well down 65 000 in there okay so all total i have 17 777 shares
Of course air gaming okay now here’s uh let’s talk about the holiday season before we get in the numbers okay so i was paying attention to a lot this holiday season corsair you know if you’re thinking about the most important season for corsair it’s going to be the christmas season right the holiday shopping season and we i definitely saw some stuff that was a
Little worrisome that i think we’ve got to pay attention to here with crsr okay so and when i say worry something that doesn’t mean it’s it’s like devastating news like they’re done or something like that not like that at all but in terms of if you’re hoping for some crazy numbers i would say think again okay so in regards to corsair gaming i did google trends on
This one for the past 12 months and i kept you know an eye on this and we saw a little tick up you know in the in the christmas time but honestly it wasn’t very much and it’s nowhere even remotely close to where things were at last holiday season and where things were at last january okay so you saw a little tick up but don’t expect corsair to have some blockbuster
Numbers or something like that it’s just not that moment in gaming right now and if you look at gaming keyboard gaming mouse things like that you’ll see a very similar google trends uh basically over the past year now if we look over the past five years for the search trend uh corsair we also see this is lower than where it was at in previous kind of christmas time
Frames so it’s very very important so one don’t expect numbers even remotely close to where we’re at basically throughout 2020 and into the first part of 2021 we’re down massively from there i kind of did red line uh you know yellow line green line here kind of like a light right so if you’re above the green line that’s great you’re doing tremendous if you’re in the
You know you’re above the yellow line you’re doing decent right if you’re below the red line you’re doing really bad and obviously you know in corsair’s numbers we saw them doing pretty bad and you know that was google trends there right and so a lot of times i don’t want to say it’s a perfect perfect thing to look at in terms of google trends in terms of interest
But when you’re talking about something that’s bought heavily online like a corsair is right if you’re looking up i don’t know coca-cola it doesn’t matter the google trends for coca-cola just doesn’t matter right um that’s not like the way it goes for for those particular products but for some like corsair that people buy heavily online that they’re searching for
Very very important to look at google trends you’re gonna get a pretty good idea of that okay so that’s first part there i also did a lot of walks around best buy stores here in vegas in trying to see like you know products sell through and whatnot corsair it looked at best decent in terms of sell through now that wasn’t just for corsair it was for anything in
The gaming space everything was pretty maxed out in terms of all their competitors and whatnot it just wasn’t the type of holiday season that was a hot one for for uh gaming components i guess you can say okay and so that’s just the truth there now elgato i gotta say the elgato section which you know like i said best buy has a very nice uh section for elgato now
Nice section um for that it actually seemed like pretty good sell through now keep in mind they keep a lot less elgato products usually in the stores than they do something like corsair but i gotta say if there’s something i’m even more bullish on in the short term it’d actually be the elgato brand in the section they have in the best buy stores and and like i
Said i saw a lot of products moving where i’d be like oh they had five products there before now there’s one product or two products or now there’s an out there okay so yeah that’s something to keep in mind so nonetheless don’t expect some sort of great blow you the top off um numbers in the christmas quarter just flat out do not expect that at all okay so in
Terms of what analysts expect for this quarter the good news is there’s no crazy big expectations for this company for this past quarter there’s only thirteen point two percent revenue or assuming your revenue decline expected right so if you’re expecting revenue to be down thirteen point two percent that’s a pretty dang low expectations right double digits down
And so this is something to keep in mind the expectations going into this quarter are not good you know they’re not high there’s not like everybody’s like oh my gosh i’m gonna report such an amazing quarter no it’s just not like that okay everybody’s expecting a bad quarter that’s why eight almost on average have this you know revenue going down 13 plus right now
As far as next quarter i will say i’m a little bit worried about the march quarter numbers analysts have the company only being down revenue 8.9 percent i’m a little worried about that and the reason being you look at google trends where they were at in january last year even into the beginning part of february extremely high there was still a ton of demand for
Corsair and so i’m a little worried like could they bring down numbers for next quarter and that hit the stock that’s kind of one of the few things i’m worried about in this stock is next quarter actually that march quarter because like literally you look at the google trends we looked at it right and it’s just like flat out the beginning of last year january
Into february google trends was super high we’re not going to see that sort of interest this year even remotely close to that okay now something important to remember is last year they did have some supply chain issues and it looks like a lot of that has been fixed based upon listening to last earnings call which you can listen to on the hungry bull app if you
Haven’t downloaded that yet that’s my app where you can listen earnings calls with companies if you listen to the latest earnings call from corsair gaming andy paul the ceo of this company basically said they’re they’re not having much supply chain issues at all now okay and i expect that to be the story throughout 22 and so that’s where things can get a little
Complicated here because it’s like well if supply chains were messed up and they couldn’t get the product fill last year maybe that hurt last year’s number so even though google trends was amazing and sales could have been amazing they could add so many supply chain issues that really hurt right so yeah but i am still a little worried about these numbers and if
There’s something i’m worried about it’s those numbers there okay now in terms of the 22 numbers in general this is complicated okay so analysts have them basically having revenue go up 6.5 percent why this is so complicated is one is you know how much how down our number is going to be in the first quarter right second thing is we just talked about supply chains
Were very messed up last year they’re likely not messed up this year okay so that adds some complexity where it’s like okay how much you know uh now that supply chains are fixed and the product gonna be available how much product sell through do we see uh you know better than let’s say last year if you didn’t have a price let’s say there was crazy demand last
Year in january but there was no product to buy okay what’s what’s the purpose right if you’re going to corsair you’re searching or whatever but you couldn’t actually buy the product okay well you know then then corsair couldn’t see the dollars versus now if somebody searches it right and they can actually buy it because the products actually available so this is
Where things get very very complicated things also get very very complicated is what’s the wild card for corsair gaming what’s the wild card for this company okay i’ll tell you what the wild card is one big game comes out one big game comes out of nowhere and everybody’s buying that game left and right and then next thing you know what happens well in that sort of
Scenario next thing you know corsair is selling product like it’s nobody’s business right and so this is where you get in this really complicated situation where it’s like man if just one big game came out during the course this year that’s a game changer overnight for a company like horse air gaming right um obviously of gpu uh you know pricing slows down because
Obviously you know gpus have been crazy cpu’s gpus if that slows down that could also help corsair andy paul on the conference call shouted that out as well so essentially the numbers for 22 are so complicated because you’re looking at a likely a weak first half four course there but strength throughout the back half of the year and so then it’s like okay where
Do we end up with the numbers there so that’s where numbers get really really complicated for corsair crsr okay now something i love for this company is analysts on average are expecting the company to have eps go up in a nice way i also expect the company to have their eps go up in 2022. i don’t i don’t really have a specific number i’m thinking somewhere in the
Dollar 50 to maybe dollar 65 range for this company in 22 so that’s obviously good when it comes to corsair it’s not as much about revenue growth for this company it’s more of a story about eps growth the revenue growth story was really a 2020 uh you know narrative around this company now it’s really about making sure we’re as profitable as possible when it comes
To this company making sure we have great profits quarterly and quarter out and the business can pay down any debts or if they want to ever pay dividends do share buybacks buy out other brands because we know corsair loves to buy out other brands right um they can make moves like that so i’m i’m very thrilled with kind of what’s expected from the eps side as far
As current year dollar 65 keep in mind last year was a dollar sixty so that’s a number down there and and also keep this in mind they do a dollar fifty nine at eps and twenty two right that still wouldn’t even be the number they did in 2020 right so it’s not like this is some crazy number that’s impossible to um you know come in with coming within in line especially
With supply chains and i think inflation is going to definitely slow down in a massive weight throughout 22 okay so nonetheless when it comes to the numbers for corsair gaming revenue growth eps growth i think this is arguably my most complicated stock i hold or definitely up there with the most complicated in terms of trying to project exactly what they’re gonna
Do i can’t think of another stock i hold that’s a multi hundred thousand dollar or you know let’s say all the multi six figure position or seven figure position that i hold that i can’t project very well there’s one i have a lot of trouble with tattoo chef i don’t have a lot of trouble with that one honestly i don’t have a lot of trouble with that one walgreens i
Don’t have a lot of trouble with that one um any of my other big positions that i have you know like i said you know major six figure seven figure positions a plan any of those i don’t have trouble projecting numbers but with corsair it’s complicated it’s really really complicated okay and so it’s going to be a kind of a crazy year for 22. like i said i think it’s
Kind of a you know a light year at the beginning and then things strengthened as the comps get easier throughout the year okay now something i love in regards to corsair gaming is the valuation of this stock is extremely compelling the 4p in the stock is 13. so when you look at it from that that standpoint when it comes to corsair gaming this isn’t an expensive
Stock this isn’t some stock that it’s like you know got some crazy pe where you’re like oh man if they have a disappointing year oh my gosh the stock’s devastating it’s not that type of stock at all when you’re trading at a 13 that which is much below where the company ever trades at you’re trading pretty darn cheap and so for that reason all it takes for a
Company like corsair gaming to get the stock moving in the right direction is for this to go to from bad news to decent news like literally if this just goes from a bad news story to just a decent news story it’s a game changer for corsair gaming never mind there’s always the eagle tree fund right that’s always the other thing that’s out there when it comes to
Corsair gaming does eagletree fund you know putting selling pressure on this do they not if they don’t obviously it’s a good thing for the stock if they put a bunch of selling pressure that makes it tough right but when it comes to corsair game if this story just goes from bad to decent we’re going to likely see the stock price goes up and if it goes from decent
To good not even a great just a good you know throughout the back half of 22 going into 23 and the prospects are looking very healthy going to the 23 it’s going to be likely to be a stock that rises pretty darn rapidly right and so yeah i love i love the fact that this is a very very cheap uh pe story on this company okay now as far as my price target for corsair
Gaming for january 2023 i hate doing short term price targets which you know one year for me is a very short-term number but if i had to do it i’m putting 31 on this stock i think you know when i look at corsair gaming crs are i think this is one of those companies that is um like i said that the store is kind of down and out i worry a little bit about this first
Three months for corsair gaming but after that i’m not very scared for the numbers after three months from now after that march quarter is over essentially then i’m not really scared with this one anymore so i’ll put a 31 price target on it as far as my interest and my interest in buying this stock in 2022 none is interested in buying the stock actually what i’m
Interested in buying when it comes to corsair gaming crs are is actually call options in the stock january 2024 which gives me two years to play with and looking at strikes anywhere from twenty dollars twenty five dollars somewhere around there for this stock maybe even you know like let’s say 15-ish type uh a price range for 2024 jans that’s something i’m actually
Interested in i got 17 777 shares of the stock so it’s not like i necessarily need to buy a ton more shares i wouldn’t mind buying it especially if the stock went under 20. but i’m actually more interested in the 2024 calls i think there’s just more risk reward that’s in my advantage there i think it’s a very low probability if the stock is under 20 in january of
2024 i think there’s a very high probability that the stocks anywhere from you know 35 to 60 if things go really well come january 2024 and so for that reason i’m actually like i said more interested in those call options so all righty guys so that was the big beast video corsair gaming hope you enjoyed this make sure you bull it’s not just about download up with
The markets your stocks in the news earnings calls are big okay and we’re about to go into earnings season starting in about a week and then it’s going to run for the next four weeks after that and so have the hungry bull ready to rock and roll because there’s a whole lot of earnings coming and you gotta listen to those babies much love and have a great day
Transcribed from video
CRSR STOCK…. By Financial Education